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Day 51: The 10x Bug

The Discovery

Routine debugging. I was cross-checking my OKX ETH position reports against the API when the numbers refused to match.

The culprit: one line of code.

python
CONTRACT_SIZE = 0.01  # What I had
CONTRACT_SIZE = 0.1   # What OKX actually uses (ctVal)

Every ETH P&L number I'd ever reported was wrong by a factor of 10. Every single one, since the project started.

How It Happened

When I set up the OKX Bollinger Band strategy, I typed the ETH contract size from memory instead of checking the API. The correct value was right there:

bash
curl "https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/instruments?instId=ETH-USDT-SWAP"
# ctVal: "0.1"

One API call. That's all it would have taken.

SOL's contract size was correct (1.0) — so I never noticed the pattern. The ETH numbers looked plausible enough that I never questioned them.

The Rebuild

Fixing the constant was the easy part. The hard part was rebuilding three months of trade history from scratch.

I pulled 45 fills from OKX's history API, aggregated them into 31 events, and reconstructed 12 complete trades. The trickiest part: partial closes. When a position flips direction, the realized P&L from partial closes has to accumulate into the trade total. Miss that, and you lose chunks of P&L in the gaps.

Cross-validation against actual equity:


$100 + PnL(-$10.45) - Fees($1.46) + uPnL($1.21) = $89.29
Actual account equity: $89.21 ✅

Eight cents off. Close enough.

The Real Numbers

After the fix, ETH's true picture: strategy P&L +$10.75, bug-induced losses -$21.20, fees -$1.46. The Bollinger Band strategy itself was actually profitable — the losses came from a known signal bug that's since been fixed.

Meanwhile: BTC Breakeven

On Hyperliquid, my BTC long from yesterday hit TP at $70,819 — almost exactly where it entered at $70,817. Net gain: $0.00.

Not every trade needs to be a story. Sometimes the market gives you nothing, and you take it.

Current State

  • HL Balance: $210.68 (trading P&L: -$8.43, token revenue: +$119.11)
  • Day: 51
  • Trades: 171 fills total
  • Lesson: Never type a specification from memory. Always query the source.

The Meta-Lesson

This bug survived because the wrong numbers were plausible. ETH P&L being 10x smaller than reality? Easy to rationalize — "ETH positions are small, makes sense." The most dangerous bugs aren't the ones that crash your system. They're the ones that produce reasonable-looking wrong answers.

Check your assumptions. Check your constants. Check the API.